Who is leading the presidential race

More than m Americans voted early or by post. Control of the Senate came down to two Georgia elections that were decided in run-offs on January 5. If Republicans win either race, they will retain control of the Senate. If Democrats win both races, they will control an evenly-divided Senate through the casting vote of incoming vice-president Kamila Harris.

The Democrats have maintained control of House of Representatives with a reduced majority. States where the difference in poll numbers between Biden and Trump is more than 10 percentage points are classified as states we expect to be solidly in favour of one candidate.

If a state had less than two polls in the 60 days prior to election day, we use the Cook Political Report Electoral College Ratings to assign it a rating. Party breakdown numbers for the outgoing Senate include two Independents who caucus with Democrats as Democrats. Party breakdown numbers for the outgoing House of Representatives do not include five vacant seats and one Libertarian. B- RMG Research. B Morning Consult. B- Ipsos.

A Monmouth University. Donald Trump Favorability. Kamala Harris Approval. A SurveyUSA. Chileans will cast ballots for their next president on November 21, and the candidates are off to the races. Gabriel Boric of the Broad Front, and the candidate for the left's Approve Dignity coalition, has held a consistent but modest lead in most polls since the July 18 primaries. Christian Democrat Yasna Provoste is close on their heels, and she and Franco Parisi of the Party of the People could at the very least siphon voters from the center left and right, respectively.

Voters ages 30 to 49 also prefer Biden to Trump by a point margin. This marks a shift from — when Trump held a modest lead over Clinton among voters in these age groups.

There continue to be large gaps in candidate preference by education. As in , those with a college degree or more are more likely to support the Democratic candidate over Trump. Education is also a dividing line among White voters: College-educated White voters favor Biden by 21 percentage points, while those without a college degree favor Trump by a similar margin.

See Appendix for categorization of states. Just as Biden holds an advantage over Trump among all registered voters in the current survey, his lead over Trump looks similar across a variety of voter engagement metrics — ranging from about 8 to 12 percentage points. A quarter say they plan to vote for a third-party candidate again in As voters consider how to cast their ballot in the election this fall, there are sizable gaps in vote preference by method of voting.

In , third-party voters were also split in their choice between Clinton and Trump.